Arendal 1-2 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 16 May 2026

Arendal
1-2 HT 1-0
Jerv
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.55
No
37%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+4.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
60%
+2.7pp
37%
BTTS No
40%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.94/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/1.56
+32% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jerv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2025 Arendal Arendal 3-1 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOR3
13.08.2025 Arendal Arendal 3-2 HT 1-0 Jerv Jerv NOK
16.05.2025 Jerv Jerv 1-1 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
07.02.2025 Jerv Jerv 2-2 Arendal Arendal HAZ
14.09.2024 Jerv Jerv 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
16.05.2024 Arendal Arendal 3-3 HT 1-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jerv edged past Arendal 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jerv as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arendal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arendal and 2.00 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Jerv?

Arendal 1-2 Jerv in the Norway - 2nd Division on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arendal 29%, draw 21%, Jerv 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jerv), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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