Lilleström 3-1 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
10%
8.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.38
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
14%
4.67
X/2
7%
8.48
X/X
13%
5.39
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
21.4
2/2
12%
6.0
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 12% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.67/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.60
+1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
24.6 Crosses 18.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sandefjord
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.86 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
333 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 0-3 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
21.04.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
16.02.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 2-2 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
03.12.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-0 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
16.07.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 4-2 HT 3-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
21.08.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström
3-1
AWAY Sandefjord
2.30 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
405 Passes 368
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
51 Box Touches 22
6 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström beat Sandefjord 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Lilleström had 52% of the ball to Sandefjord's 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.30 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lilleström and 1.33 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Sandefjord?

Lilleström 3-1 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 52%, draw 23%, Sandefjord 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lilleström) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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