Fredrikstad 2-1 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.73
No
37%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.21
2-3 Goals
46%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.41 — our 25% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
14%
12.85
X/1
11%
4.66
X/2
6%
7.53
X/X
13%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.35
2/2
12%
5.63
2/X
8%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.35 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
54%
+9.1pp
37%
BTTS No
46%
-9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +32%
1.61/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.33
-4% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
17.3 Crosses 21.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HamKam
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.36 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
389 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
35 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
20.07.2025 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
23.11.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
21.07.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
23.02.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-4 HT 0-3 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
20.11.2021 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fredrikstad
2-1
AWAY HamKam
0.76 xG 1.90
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
325 Passes 493
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 45
24 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad edged past HamKam 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fredrikstad as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fredrikstad had 41% of the ball to HamKam's 59%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.76 to 1.90 — on chances, HamKam could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fredrikstad and 0.50 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs HamKam?

Fredrikstad 2-1 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 41%, draw 35%, HamKam 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fredrikstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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