Club Guarani 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Guarani EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.24/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.19
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 28.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Guarani
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2026 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
12.10.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
31.07.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
19.05.2025 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-3 HT 0-3 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
11.03.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 0-0 Club Guarani Club Guarani PAR
12.10.2024 Club Guarani Club Guarani 1-1 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Guarani
1-0
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Guarani edged past Sportivo Ameliano 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Club Guarani found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Guarani had 61% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 39%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Club Guarani and 1.33 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Guarani 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Guarani win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Club Guarani 38%, draw 28%, Sportivo Ameliano 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Guarani), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Guarani) ✓ Under 2.5
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