Chelyabinsk 2-2 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.59
Over
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
36%
4-5
19%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelyabinsk The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik The Market 36%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
2.33/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.04
+90% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelyabinsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelyabinsk
2-2
AWAY Shinnik
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelyabinsk and Shinnik couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelyabinsk had 46% of the ball to Shinnik's 54%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik?

Chelyabinsk 2-2 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelyabinsk vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelyabinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chelyabinsk 39%, draw 29%, Shinnik 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelyabinsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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