Spartak Kostroma 0-1 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa The Market 33%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.61
-3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Kostroma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Ufa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
04.10.2025 FK Ufa FK Ufa 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Kostroma Spartak Kostroma RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
0-1
AWAY FK Ufa
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Ufa nicked a narrow win over Spartak Kostroma 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Kostroma at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 56% of the ball to FK Ufa's 44%, shots finished 15-3.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs FK Ufa?

Spartak Kostroma 0-1 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 42%, draw 32%, FK Ufa 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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