Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.59
Over
53%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.99
No
45%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
47%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
41%
+12.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
46%
+8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
54%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk The Market 29%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.42/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.41
+9% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
09.11.2024 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
27.07.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
02.03.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
17.09.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
23.10.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-0
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 53% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 47%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 0.33 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 52%, draw 24%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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