Arsenal Tula vs FK Rodina Moskva Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal Tula v FK Rodina Moskva — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal Tula vs FK Rodina Moskva Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FK Rodina Moskva cruised past Arsenal Tula 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.33 for FK Rodina Moskva.
What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Arsenal Tula 1-4 FK Rodina Moskva in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs FK Rodina Moskva?
Before kick-off our model rated an FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 30%, draw 27%, FK Rodina Moskva 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.