Volga Ulyanovsk 0-3 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
50%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.59
Over
50%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No Pick
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
50%
Away Win
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel The Market 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
0.84/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.70
-6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fakel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2025 Fakel Fakel 2-1 HT 2-1 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
0-3
AWAY Fakel
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel ran out comfortable winners over Volga Ulyanovsk 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fakel as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Volga Ulyanovsk had 46% of the ball to Fakel's 54%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?

Volga Ulyanovsk 0-3 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 23%, draw 27%, Fakel 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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