Chernomorets vs Ural Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chernomorets v Ural — Team-Based Signals
Chernomorets vs Ural Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Chernomorets 2-1 Ural — Actual Match Statistics
Chernomorets squeezed past Ural 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Chernomorets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chernomorets had 44% of the ball to Ural's 56%, shots finished 14-13.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chernomorets and 2.25 for Ural.
What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Ural?
Chernomorets 2-1 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Ural?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 40%, draw 26%, Ural 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.