Samsunspor 3-0 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.07
Over 2.5
41%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.56
No
57%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 36% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.42
1/2
6%
23.5
1/X
4%
12.45
X/1
15%
6.75
X/2
12%
5.31
X/X
12%
4.97
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
20%
3.04
2/X
9%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
60%
-17.2pp
57%
BTTS No
40%
+17.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.36/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.41
+42% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
12.6 Crosses 17.4
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samsunspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Göztepe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
380 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Göztepe Göztepe 2-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
03.03.2025 Göztepe Göztepe 2-2 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
28.09.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 4-3 HT 1-2 Göztepe Göztepe TSL
07.04.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor T1L
06.11.2022 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
29.12.2021 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samsunspor
3-0
AWAY Göztepe
1.87 xG 2.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 22
9 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 4
309 Passes 157
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Samsunspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samsunspor cruised past Göztepe 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Samsunspor made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Samsunspor had 62% of the ball to Göztepe's 38%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 1.87 to 2.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Göztepe.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samsunspor and 1.50 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Göztepe?

Samsunspor 3-0 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 37%, draw 25%, Göztepe 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Göztepe), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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