Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fatih Karagümrük v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
2-2
HT 1-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük nicked a narrow win over Alanyaspor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Fatih Karagümrük made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 44% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 56%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.78 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alanyaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 2.17 for Alanyaspor.
What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor?
Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Alanyaspor?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alanyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 34%, draw 27%, Alanyaspor 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.