Gaziantep FK 1-2 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.57
2-3 Goals
33%
2.13
4-5 Goals
31%
2.4
6+ Goals
16%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.11
1/2
7%
18.2
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
15%
8.35
X/2
12%
4.97
X/X
8%
6.9
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
26%
2.33
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.2pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-6.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.3pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.3pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +22%
1.34/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.00
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
18.3 Crosses 17.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.50 xG 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 Passes 389
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 5-1 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
20.04.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-1 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
23.11.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-0 HT 2-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
24.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
07.10.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 2-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
05.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-2
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.73 xG 2.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
402 Passes 349
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK squeezed past Gaziantep FK 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 53% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 47%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.73 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Başakşehir FK's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.00 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Gaziantep FK 1-2 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 35%, draw 21%, Başakşehir FK 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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