San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v FC Cincinnati — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
6-0
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
FC Cincinnati
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 2-4 FC Cincinnati — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati got the better of San Jose Earthquakes 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 43% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 57%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 2.95 to 1.96 — on chances, San Jose Earthquakes could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 3.00 for FC Cincinnati.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati?
San Jose Earthquakes 2-4 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Cincinnati?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 35%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.