Atletico Ottawa 3-0 Valour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 16 Jun 2025

📅16/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.43
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Valour EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.88/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.38
+1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
16.4 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Valour
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.88
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
452 Passes 328
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 5-2 HT 3-1 Valour Valour KAPL
10.09.2024 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
21.07.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
09.06.2024 Valour Valour 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
05.05.2024 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 2-0 Valour Valour CAPL
24.09.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Valour Valour CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3-0
AWAY Valour
2.57 xG 0.93
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
591 Passes 317
91% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 20
6 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Valour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa swept aside Valour 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 64% of the ball to Valour's 36%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 2.57 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.00 for Valour.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?

Atletico Ottawa 3-0 Valour in the Kanada - Premier League on 16/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Valour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 55%, draw 21%, Valour 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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