Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 16 Jun 2026

📅16/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
65%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
15%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
65%
Away Win
66%
-1.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 70%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.43/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.01
+35% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1W-0D-5L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
08.11.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
13.09.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
02.05.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
08.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
29.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
1-2
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn edged past Parnu JK Vaprus 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 40% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 60%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 2.33 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Parnu JK Vaprus 1-2 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 16/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 14%, draw 21%, FC Flora Tallinn 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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