Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
56%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.5pp
56%
Away Win
66%
-10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 71%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
0.98/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.74
-3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +1%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
2W-0D-4L
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
29.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
11.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
14.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
18.02.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-1 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0-3
AWAY FC Flora Tallinn
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Parnu JK Vaprus 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 41% of the ball to FC Flora Tallinn's 59%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.67 for FC Flora Tallinn.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn in the Estonia - Premium League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 18%, draw 26%, FC Flora Tallinn 56%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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