FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.34
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
+0.3pp
15%
Draw
20%
-5.2pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +25%
2.00/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.63
+0% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
08.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
29.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
11.05.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
14.04.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-3 HT 0-3 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
3-0
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn ran out comfortable winners over Parnu JK Vaprus 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 57% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 43%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.50 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 66%, draw 15%, Parnu JK Vaprus 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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