FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.42
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
12%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
66%
+5.9pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.2pp
12%
Away Win
15%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Flora Tallinn EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 18%
+10% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
2.21/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.75
+12% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
13.09.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 1-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
02.05.2025 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
08.03.2025 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 0-1 HT 0-1 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
29.09.2024 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn 3-0 HT 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
23.08.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Flora Tallinn FC Flora Tallinn EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Flora Tallinn
2-0
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Flora Tallinn saw off Parnu JK Vaprus 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Flora Tallinn as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Flora Tallinn had 63% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Flora Tallinn had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for FC Flora Tallinn and 0.17 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

FC Flora Tallinn 2-0 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Flora Tallinn vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Flora Tallinn win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split FC Flora Tallinn 72%, draw 16%, Parnu JK Vaprus 12%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Flora Tallinn) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
12 Apr 2026
14:30 JK Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond Analysis →
14:30 Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia Analysis →