Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.25/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.89
-18% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +72%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
21.06.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
24.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia ESTK
04.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
30.03.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
22.02.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1-1
AWAY FC Levadia
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju and FC Levadia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 47% of the ball to FC Levadia's 53%, shots finished 6-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 2.00 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Nomme JK Kalju 1-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 34%, draw 24%, FC Levadia 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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