Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
54%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.08/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.20
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
317 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.06.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
24.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 3-3 HT 0-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia ESTK
04.05.2025 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
30.03.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
22.02.2025 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-2 HT 2-1 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju ESTSK
27.10.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 0-4 HT 0-2 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
2-1
AWAY FC Levadia
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nomme JK Kalju edged past FC Levadia 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FC Levadia at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 44% of the ball to FC Levadia's 56%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 2.50 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Nomme JK Kalju 2-1 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 24%, draw 22%, FC Levadia 54%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Levadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EST1 More Estonia - Premium League
21 Sep 2025
17:00 Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev Analysis →