Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parnu JK Vaprus v Tallinna Kalev — Team-Based Signals
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 Tallinna Kalev — Actual Match Statistics
Parnu JK Vaprus nicked a narrow win over Tallinna Kalev 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Parnu JK Vaprus as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 52% of the ball to Tallinna Kalev's 48%, shots finished 12-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 0.67 for Tallinna Kalev.
What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?
Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 Tallinna Kalev in the Estonia - Premium League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Tallinna Kalev?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 62%, draw 22%, Tallinna Kalev 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.