LHospitalet 1-2 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
31%
4.19
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.0
Over
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.47
2-3
48%
1.75
4-5
19%
3.08
6+
8%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.6pp
52%
Away Win
65%
-13.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LHospitalet EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
225 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LHospitalet
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2021 LHospitalet LHospitalet 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
29.11.2020 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 5-0 HT 1-0 LHospitalet LHospitalet İS3
02.02.2014 LHospitalet LHospitalet 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LHospitalet
1-2
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LHospitalet vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona edged past LHospitalet 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, LHospitalet had 45% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 55%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for LHospitalet and 1.67 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of LHospitalet vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

LHospitalet 1-2 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Friendlies on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LHospitalet vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split LHospitalet 17%, draw 31%, Gimnastic Tarragona 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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