Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 16 Aug 2026

Celta Vigo
vs
Osasuna
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Spain - Primera Liga – 2026/2027

Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Celta Vigo v Osasuna — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Celta Vigo vs Osasuna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Osasuna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.21
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
358 Passes 420
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2026 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
26.10.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 2-3 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
21.02.2025 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
01.09.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 2-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
04.02.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 0-3 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
13.08.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-2 HT 0-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
COMMENT Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Over 2.5 goals has landed in 4 of Celta Vigo's last 5 home league games, and Osasuna have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celta Vigo and 1.50 for Osasuna.

When do Celta Vigo and Osasuna play?

Celta Vigo play Osasuna in the Spain - Primera Liga on 16/08/2026, kick-off 22:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Celta Vigo vs Osasuna?

Our model's prediction for Celta Vigo vs Osasuna is a Celta Vigo win at about 43% probability, priced 1.96 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Celta Vigo 43%, draw 27%, Osasuna 29%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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