Chapecoense vs Bahia Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Aug 2026

Chapecoense
vs
Bahia
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Chapecoense vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Chapecoense v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Chapecoense vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bahia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.67 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
251 Passes 389
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.07.2026 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
01.10.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 3-1 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR2
15.06.2022 Bahia Bahia 0-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
25.10.2021 Bahia Bahia 3-0 HT 2-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
04.07.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-2 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
07.11.2019 Bahia Bahia 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
COMMENT Chapecoense vs Bahia
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Chapecoense have lost 4 of their last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chapecoense and 1.50 for Bahia.

When do Chapecoense and Bahia play?

Chapecoense play Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/08/2026, kick-off 17:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Chapecoense vs Bahia?

Our model's prediction for Chapecoense vs Bahia is an Bahia win at about 40% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Chapecoense 31%, draw 29%, Bahia 40%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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