16/08/2026
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Unlock the Analysis Engine
One clear DECISION per match — recommended pick, stake and edge confidence. Create a free account and the whole board opens: every market, every match, no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
Atletico Mineiro v Gremio — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Atletico Mineiro
3W-0D-3L
AWAY
Gremio
1.83
Avg Goals (FT)
1.67
1.71
xG
1.24
55%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
5
380
Passes
309
84%
Pass Accuracy
82%
23
Box Touches
20
18
Crosses
17
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
26.11.2023
Atletico Mineiro
3-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Gremio
BR1
COMMENT
Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atletico Mineiro's last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Gremio's last 5 away league games.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.67 for Gremio.
When do Atletico Mineiro and Gremio play?
Atletico Mineiro play Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Who is predicted to win Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio?
Our model's prediction for Atletico Mineiro vs Gremio is a Atletico Mineiro win at about 55% probability, priced 1.8 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Atletico Mineiro 55%, draw 24%, Gremio 21%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
BR1
More Brazil - Serie A
16 Aug 2026