Vasco da Gama vs Santos Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 16 Aug 2026

Vasco da Gama
vs
Santos
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Vasco da Gama vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Vasco da Gama v Santos — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Vasco da Gama vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Santos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 Passes 275
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.02.2026 Santos Santos 2-1 HT 1-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
17.08.2025 Santos Santos 0-6 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
31.03.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
01.10.2023 Santos Santos 4-1 HT 3-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
14.05.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
20.12.2020 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
COMMENT Vasco da Gama vs Santos
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 5 of Santos's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.33 for Santos.

When do Vasco da Gama and Santos play?

Vasco da Gama play Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 16/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Vasco da Gama vs Santos?

Our model's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Santos is a Vasco da Gama win at about 45% probability, priced 1.9 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Vasco da Gama 45%, draw 26%, Santos 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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