Santos 0-6 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 17 Aug 2025

Santos
0-6 HT 0-1
Vasco da Gama
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Santos vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.42
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
22%
4.26
X/2
10%
8.26
X/X
7%
4.64
2/1
7%
24.5
2/2
9%
6.66
2/X
9%
15.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.6pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -10%
1.41/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.37
+13% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
24.2 Crosses 20.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Santos vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.38
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.03.2025 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
01.10.2023 Santos Santos 4-1 HT 3-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
14.05.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BR1
20.12.2020 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
03.09.2020 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 1-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
05.10.2019 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1

Santos 0-6 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos
0-6
AWAY Vasco da Gama
0.70 xG 2.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
280 Passes 447
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santos vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama ran out comfortable winners over Santos 6-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Santos had 41% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 59%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.70 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos and 1.00 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Santos vs Vasco da Gama?

Santos 0-6 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Santos 51%, draw 23%, Vasco da Gama 26%. The final score 0-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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