Corinthians vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-5
HT 0-3
Bahia
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BR1
3-1
HT 1-1
Bahia
BR1
Corinthians 1-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia squeezed past Corinthians 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Bahia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Corinthians had 66% of the ball to Bahia's 34%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.60 to 1.06 — the balance of chances actually favoured Corinthians.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.17 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Bahia?
Corinthians 1-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 40%, draw 28%, Bahia 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.