Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Aug 2026

Incheon United
vs
Gimcheon Sangmu
📅16/08/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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South Kore - K League Classic – 2026

Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Incheon United v Gimcheon Sangmu — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 393
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.05.2026 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-3 HT 0-2 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
05.04.2026 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
15.09.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
05.07.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
19.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
COMMENT Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in just 0 of Incheon United's last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Gimcheon Sangmu's last 5 away league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

When do Incheon United and Gimcheon Sangmu play?

Incheon United play Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/08/2026, kick-off 13:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Our model's prediction for Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu is a Incheon United win at about 39% probability, priced 2.05 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Incheon United 39%, draw 32%, Gimcheon Sangmu 30%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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