Gimcheon Sangmu 0-3 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.68
Over
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.69
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.03
6+
9%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.69 — our 34% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.15
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.89
X/2
13%
6.53
X/X
15%
4.11
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
10%
4.93
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 32%
+21% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.74/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.01
+35% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 18.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 0.51
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
373 Passes 339
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Incheon United Incheon United 2-1 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
15.09.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
05.07.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
19.06.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
18.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
0-3
AWAY Incheon United
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
451 Passes 258
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United swept aside Gimcheon Sangmu 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 61% of the ball to Incheon United's 39%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.83 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United?

Gimcheon Sangmu 0-3 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 41%, draw 30%, Incheon United 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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