Jeju United 2-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.04
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.62
Over
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.53
2-3
38%
1.73
4-5
18%
4.3
6+
8%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.53 — our 36% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.12
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
4%
13.75
X/1
19%
6.61
X/2
14%
4.84
X/X
8%
3.93
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.15
2/X
10%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 6.61 — our 19% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
29%
+7.5pp
22%
Draw
30%
-7.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
0.56/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.74
+13% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.4 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FC Seoul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
322 Passes 425
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
23.07.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
31.05.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-3 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
15.02.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
16.08.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
06.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
2-1
AWAY FC Seoul
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 12
174 Passes 482
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Crosses 48
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United squeezed past FC Seoul 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 41%) promised a tight game; Jeju United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeju United had 29% of the ball to FC Seoul's 71%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jeju United and 1.33 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs FC Seoul?

Jeju United 2-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 37%, draw 22%, FC Seoul 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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