Gwangju 0-0 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.4
Draw
23%
3.72
Away Pick
62%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.67
Over
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.27
No
47%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.57
2-3
49%
1.73
4-5
18%
4.22
6+
6%
21.4
Value flag · 2-3 at 1.73 — our 49% vs market 49.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
11.65
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
3%
20.65
X/1
6%
12.35
X/2
19%
3.65
X/X
11%
4.78
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
35%
1.88
2/X
9%
17.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Gangwon win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
15%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
62%
Away Win
61%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
40%
+12.8pp
47%
BTTS No
60%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 66%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.51/2.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-41% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses 13.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Gangwon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
391 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2026 Gangwon Gangwon 3-0 HT 2-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
23.08.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
25.05.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
13.04.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.08.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 1-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
07.07.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gwangju
0-0
AWAY Gangwon
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju and Gangwon fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gangwon at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gwangju had 38% of the ball to Gangwon's 62%, shots finished 10-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gwangju and 1.83 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Gwangju 0-0 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 15%, draw 23%, Gangwon 62%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gangwon), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gangwon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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