Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Lima v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza Lima 1-0 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima edged past UTC Cajamarca 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: shots finished 26-2, expected goals 1.75 to 0.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Lima's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.00 for UTC Cajamarca.
Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Result & Final Score
Alianza Lima 1-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 71%, draw 18%, UTC Cajamarca 11%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.