Motor Lublin 1-0 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 16 Aug 2026

📅16/08/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.2
Over Pick
62%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.43
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.54
2-3
42%
1.88
4-5
29%
2.71
6+
11%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.07
1/2
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
14%
5.53
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
14%
5.56
2/1
3%
22.5
2/2
18%
4.16
2/X
5%
12.6
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Motor Lublin The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice The Market 36%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.82 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
1.56 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Strong
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motor Lublin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Katowice
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
304 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 36
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2026 Katowice Katowice 3-2 HT 3-1 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
17.10.2025 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 2-5 HT 2-2 Katowice Katowice POL
24.02.2025 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 3-2 HT 2-1 Katowice Katowice POL
16.08.2024 Katowice Katowice 0-0 HT 0-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL
19.02.2024 Katowice Katowice 2-0 HT 1-0 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin POL1
06.08.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-1 HT 0-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motor Lublin
1 - 0
AWAY Katowice
2.92 xG 1.10
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
249 Passes 398
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
35 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Motor Lublin vs Katowice
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Motor Lublin shaded a tight game against Katowice 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Motor Lublin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Motor Lublin had 41% of the ball to Katowice's 59%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.92 to 1.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Motor Lublin's control.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katowice led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Motor Lublin and 2.17 for Katowice.

Motor Lublin vs Katowice Result & Final Score

Motor Lublin 1 - 0 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 16/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Motor Lublin vs Katowice Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Motor Lublin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 42%, draw 25%, Katowice 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motor Lublin) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motor Lublin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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