Dagenham & Redbridge 3-4 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 16 Nov 2024

Dagenham & Redbridge
3-4 HT 2-1
Barnet
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Barnet Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
9.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.4
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
12%
6.65
X/2
17%
5.07
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
30.5
2/2
10%
3.02
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dagenham & Redbridge v Barnet — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 48%
+7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -18%
1.62/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.50
+26% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
269 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Barnet Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Barnet
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.01.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
26.08.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
29.04.2023 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
24.09.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 5-4 HT 2-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
15.04.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 7-3 HT 5-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
30.08.2021 Barnet Barnet 0-2 HT 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL

Dagenham & Redbridge 3-4 Barnet — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
3-4
AWAY Barnet
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet nicked a narrow win over Dagenham & Redbridge 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Barnet found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 34% of the ball to Barnet's 66%, shots finished 13-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.50 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Barnet?

Dagenham & Redbridge 3-4 Barnet in the England - National League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 40%, draw 26%, Barnet 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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