Macaristan 2-3 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.64
Over 2.5
54%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.95
No
38%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.8
1/2 EV+ ✓
12%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
22%
4.61
X/2
4%
7.76
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
7%
6.29
2/X
6%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 12% vs market 1.2%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
47%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
57%
-11.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
43%
+11.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
47%
+14.7pp
38%
BTTS No
53%
-14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macaristan EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 28%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.18/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.67
-56% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +105%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
216 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 80%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
12.0 Crosses 9.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macaristan
0W-3D-1L
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.34 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
404 Passes 371
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-2 HT 0-2 Macaristan Macaristan DKE
04.06.2024 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 2-1 HT 1-1 Macaristan Macaristan HAZ
08.06.2021 Macaristan Macaristan 0-0 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti HAZ
04.06.2012 Macaristan Macaristan 0-0 HT 0-0 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti İrlanda Cumhuriyeti HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macaristan
2-3
AWAY İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
1.34 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
322 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Macaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İrlanda Cumhuriyeti edged past Macaristan 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Macaristan at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Macaristan had 53% of the ball to İrlanda Cumhuriyeti's 47%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.34 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Macaristan and 1.00 for İrlanda Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Macaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Macaristan 2-3 İrlanda Cumhuriyeti in the World Cup Qualifiers on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macaristan vs İrlanda Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macaristan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Macaristan 52%, draw 25%, İrlanda Cumhuriyeti 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Macaristan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macaristan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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