Ukrayna vs İzlanda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ukrayna v İzlanda — Team-Based Signals
Ukrayna vs İzlanda Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Ukrayna
DKE
1-1
HT 1-1
İzlanda
DKE
Ukrayna 2-0 İzlanda — Actual Match Statistics
Ukrayna saw off İzlanda 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ukrayna as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ukrayna had 52% of the ball to İzlanda's 48%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.53 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ukrayna had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ukrayna and 1.75 for İzlanda.
What was the final score of Ukrayna vs İzlanda?
Ukrayna 2-0 İzlanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ukrayna vs İzlanda?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ukrayna win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna 50%, draw 26%, İzlanda 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ukrayna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.