Sırbistan 2-1 Letonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
81%
1.16
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
6%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.44
No
53%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
30%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
53%
1.29
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
32.0
X/1
21%
3.68
X/2
2%
33.5
X/X
6%
9.68
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
2%
32.5
2/X
4%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
81%
Home Win
82%
-0.4pp
13%
Draw
13%
-0.1pp
6%
Away Win
6%
+0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
63%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Letonya EU Bookmakers 8%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
3.11/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.68
+16% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +46%
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
491 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
24.7 Crosses 10.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Letonya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.39 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
539 Passes 426
94% Pass Accuracy 88%
39 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.09.2025 Letonya Letonya 0-1 HT 0-1 Sırbistan Sırbistan DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan
2-1
AWAY Letonya
1.96 xG 1.15
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
520 Passes 214
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
33 Box Touches 13
41 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sırbistan vs Letonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan squeezed past Letonya 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sırbistan as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sırbistan had 67% of the ball to Letonya's 33%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.96 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Sırbistan vs Letonya?

Sırbistan 2-1 Letonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan vs Letonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan 81%, draw 13%, Letonya 6%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sırbistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sırbistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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