Grenoble 1-0 Martigues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
60%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.1
Over
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.89
2-3
38%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.0
6+
10%
9.54
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.89 — our 29% vs market 19.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.66
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
24%
3.81
X/2
6%
14.7
X/X
10%
6.6
2/1
10%
22.1
2/2
6%
12.6
2/X
7%
21.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Grenoble win — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
60%
Home Win
67%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Martigues The Market 16%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +34%
2.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.72
+18% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.7 Crosses 14.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Martigues
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.53 xG 0.74
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
539 Passes 298
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.09.2024 Martigues Martigues 0-4 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
06.02.2002 Grenoble Grenoble 3-2 HT 0-1 Martigues Martigues FR2
22.09.2001 Martigues Martigues 0-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
1-0
AWAY Martigues
0.78 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
502 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Martigues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble edged past Martigues 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Grenoble as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Grenoble had 60% of the ball to Martigues's 40%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.78 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grenoble had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Grenoble and 0.67 for Martigues.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Martigues?

Grenoble 1-0 Martigues in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Martigues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenoble win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 60%, draw 23%, Martigues 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grenoble), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grenoble) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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