Red Star FC 93 1-3 Pau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.82
Over
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.13
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
20%
3.51
6+
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.88
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
16%
5.84
X/2
13%
5.71
X/X
12%
4.43
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.75
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pau The Market 39%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -25%
0.95/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.70
-1% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
19.5 Crosses 21.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Pau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.54 xG 2.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
304 Passes 453
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2024 Pau Pau 4-1 HT 1-1 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
07.02.2020 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 1-2 HT 1-0 Pau Pau FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
1-3
AWAY Pau
2.14 xG 2.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
424 Passes 286
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Pau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pau got the better of Red Star FC 93 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Pau made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 58% of the ball to Pau's 42%, shots finished 22-18, expected goals 2.14 to 2.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pau led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 3.00 for Pau.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Pau?

Red Star FC 93 1-3 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Pau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Red Star FC 93 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 40%, draw 25%, Pau 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Red Star FC 93) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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