Guingamp 3-0 Rodez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.91
Over
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.33
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.34
6+
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.33 — our 28% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.98
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.99
X/2
9%
6.78
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
10%
24.7
2/2
15%
4.81
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rodez The Market 33%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.28/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.7 Crosses 21.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Rodez
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Rodez Rodez 1-2 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
23.01.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-3 HT 3-3 Rodez Rodez FR2
11.11.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
28.01.2023 Rodez Rodez 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
04.10.2022 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Rodez Rodez FR2
15.03.2022 Rodez Rodez 1-1 HT 0-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Rodez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp ran out comfortable winners over Rodez 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guingamp and 0.83 for Rodez.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Rodez?

Guingamp 3-0 Rodez in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Rodez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 41%, draw 28%, Rodez 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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