Amiens SC vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amiens SC v Bastia — Team-Based Signals
Amiens SC vs Bastia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Amiens SC 1-0 Bastia — Actual Match Statistics
Amiens SC squeezed past Bastia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Amiens SC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Amiens SC had 40% of the ball to Bastia's 60%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 1.08 to 1.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bastia.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Amiens SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Amiens SC and 0.83 for Bastia.
What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Bastia?
Amiens SC 1-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Bastia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 30%, draw 30%, Bastia 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.