Everton U21 1-3 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Jan 2025

Everton U21
1-3 HT 0-2
Leeds United U21
📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Everton U21 vs Leeds United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.5pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton U21 v Leeds United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 36%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
11.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Everton U21 vs Leeds United U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leeds United U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.22 xG 2.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 12
341 Passes 427
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 1-1 HT 1-1 Everton U21 Everton U21 INGPL2-1

Everton U21 1-3 Leeds United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
1-3
AWAY Leeds United U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
224 Passes 256
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United U21 saw off Everton U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leeds United U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Everton U21 had 48% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 52%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Everton U21 1-3 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 37%, draw 23%, Leeds United U21 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United U21), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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