Southampton U21 4-2 Newcastle United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-1.0pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +70% / +70%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.92
-25% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 7.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
4-2
AWAY Newcastle United U21
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
380 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Newcastle United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 beat Newcastle United U21 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southampton U21 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 57% of the ball to Newcastle United U21's 43%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Southampton U21 4-2 Newcastle United U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Newcastle United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 55%, draw 23%, Newcastle United U21 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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