Nottingham Forest U21 2-4 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.2pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-1% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
377 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 17.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chelsea U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.03
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
251 Passes 482
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 2-3 HT 1-2 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
2-4
AWAY Chelsea U21
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
166 Passes 496
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 got the better of Nottingham Forest U21 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Chelsea U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 30% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 70%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 2-4 Chelsea U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 35%, draw 26%, Chelsea U21 39%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
17 Jan 2025
15:00 Southampton U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Analysis →
19:00 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Leicester City U21 Analysis →
22:00 Everton U21 vs Leeds United U21 Analysis →
22:00 Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 Analysis →
22:00 West Ham United U21 vs Sunderland U21 Analysis →
22:00 Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21 Analysis →