Manchester City U21 2-2 Stoke City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.68
Over 2.5
70%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
-13.1pp
18%
Draw
15%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.7pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+6.9pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/4.25
+128% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -51%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses 12.8
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stoke City U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
1.21 xG 2.42
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 1
433 Passes 378
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
4 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
15.01.2024 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 5-1 HT 1-0 Manchester City U21 Manchester City U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City U21
2-2
AWAY Stoke City U21
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
541 Passes 217
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City U21 and Stoke City U21 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Manchester City U21 carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester City U21 had 67% of the ball to Stoke City U21's 33%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Manchester City U21 2-2 Stoke City U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Manchester City U21 61%, draw 18%, Stoke City U21 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
INGPL2 More INGPL2
17 Jan 2025
15:00 Southampton U21 vs Newcastle United U21 Analysis →
19:00 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 vs Leicester City U21 Analysis →
22:00 Everton U21 vs Leeds United U21 Analysis →
22:00 Reading U21 vs Derby County U21 Analysis →
22:00 West Ham United U21 vs Sunderland U21 Analysis →
22:00 Nottingham Forest U21 vs Chelsea U21 Analysis →