West Ham United U21 1-0 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 17 Jan 2025

📅17/01/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.32
No
46%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.4pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
72%
-17.5pp
46%
BTTS No
28%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United U21 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.5
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sunderland U21
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3.62 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 6
436 Passes 449
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2024 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 3-3 HT 0-1 West Ham United U21 West Ham United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United U21
1-0
AWAY Sunderland U21
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
431 Passes 363
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH West Ham United U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United U21 squeezed past Sunderland U21 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day West Ham United U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, West Ham United U21 had 52% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 48%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of West Ham United U21 vs Sunderland U21?

West Ham United U21 1-0 Sunderland U21 in the INGPL2 on 17/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split West Ham United U21 37%, draw 26%, Sunderland U21 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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