Bedford Town 2-3 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.91
Over
48%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.67
No
50%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.3
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.33
6+
10%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.3 — our 30% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Bedford Town The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport The Market 43%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.24 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.30
1.89 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.08
Great Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bedford Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Southport
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.08.2025 Southport Southport 3-1 HT 1-1 Bedford Town Bedford Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
2-3
AWAY Southport
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Bedford Town vs Southport
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Southport shaded a tight game against Bedford Town 3-2 on their travels. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 24% / 37%); Southport picked one for it.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both. At 1.67 (~60%), the BTTS-yes price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Bedford Town had 44% of the ball to Southport's 56%, shots finished 10-15.

Bedford Town vs Southport Result & Final Score

Bedford Town 2-3 Southport in the England - Conference on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bedford Town vs Southport Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bedford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 39%, draw 24%, Southport 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bedford Town) ✗ Under 2.5
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