Merthyr Town 2-0 Peterborough Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Jan 2026

📅17/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.66
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
20%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.74
Over Pick
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
19%
6.01
2-3
35%
2.07
4-5
30%
2.46
6+
16%
5.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
56%
+3.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+3.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.3pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merthyr Town The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough Sports The Market 27%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -14%
2.98/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.59
+67% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
396 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Merthyr Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Peterborough Sports
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 0-3 HT 0-2 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merthyr Town
2-0
AWAY Peterborough Sports
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town got the better of Peterborough Sports 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Merthyr Town had 55% of the ball to Peterborough Sports's 45%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports?

Merthyr Town 2-0 Peterborough Sports in the England - Conference on 17/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 59%, draw 21%, Peterborough Sports 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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